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Transfer Score: which ELITE 2 players succeeded in their bet in Betclic ELITE?

With the increase in transitions from Elite 2 to Betclic Elite in recent seasons, PlayerLynk offers a data-driven and prospective analysis of these moves. Based on five years of historical data and its proprietary indicator, the Transfer score, the model seeks to measure and anticipate players' actual adaptation to the highest French level, identifying profiles that overperform, those that meet expectations, and the structural trends of these transfers.
Transfer Score: which ELITE 2 players succeeded in their bet in Betclic ELITE?
Photo Credit : Cécile Thomas

With the increasing number of transfers from ELITE 2 to Betclic Elite in recent seasons, the question is no longer just who moves up a level, but how these players adapt once in the elite.

To answer this, PlayerLynk relies on the history of transfers made over the past five seasons. By comparing the evolution of statistics before and after the division change, the model identifies stable trends according to the player’s profile and role. These trends allow setting an expected production level in Betclic Elite, even before the season begins.

The objective is clear: anticipate a player’s adaptation to a new competitive context, based on what comparable profiles have produced in the past in the same situation.

The Transfer Score

To compare these projections with on-court reality, PlayerLynk uses a synthetic indicator: the Transfer score.

Each statistic is compared to projections established before the season. Depending on whether the player is above or below these estimates, it contributes positively or negatively to the final score.

The whole is then converted to a score out of 100. 50 corresponds to performance meeting the model’s expectations. Above, the player generally shows performance above projections. Below, they fall short of the estimated level.

This score offers an objective benchmark to compare, with the same analytical framework, all Elite 2 → Betclic Elite transfers. It doesn’t summarize the entirety of on-court impact, but allows quickly identifying profiles that best managed their adaptation.

Best Summer Transfers

Among players transferred this summer, the best Transfer scores send a clear signal: ball handlers dominate this group.

This finding confirms the model’s predictive value for ball-handler profiles. Although their production heavily depends on collective context, six of the seven best Transfer scores concern ball handlers, validating the model’s ability to anticipate their adaptation to division change.

PlayerNew Club (Betclic Elite)RoleTransfer Score
Quentin Losser (2.02m, 26 years)JDA DijonScoring role player68.9
Assemian Moulare (1.84m, 22 years)JL BourgVersatile ball-handler68.2
Théo Magrit (1.89m, 24 years)CSP LimogesPassing ball-handler61.4
Essome Miyem (2.10m, 24 years)BoulazacPaint protector60.3
Shannon Bogues (1.90m, 28 years)Le MansScoring ball-handler58.0
Clarence Nadolny (1.92m, 25 years)Élan ChalonPassing ball-handler57.8

Transfers Close to Average

A second group sits around the model’s average. Here again, one point deserves emphasis: the majority of these players show a Transfer score close to or above 50, suggesting that Elite 2 to Betclic Elite transfers are going generally better than in some previous seasons, according to historical data.

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This reading remains to be refined as the season progresses. Some players haven’t yet accumulated enough minutes to stabilize their statistics, and adaptation to a new role may require a few additional weeks.

This group mostly consists of defensively-oriented profiles: paint protectors, rebounders, stoppers or off-ball impact players. These profiles provide essential contributions, part of which naturally escapes traditional statistics. The Transfer score nevertheless captures their measurable impacts, while knowing their complete value is also read elsewhere.

PlayerNew Club (Betclic Elite)RoleTransfer Score
Neal QuinnBCM Gravelines-DunkerquePaint protector53.5
Neftali DifuidiSaint-QuentinBall stopper52.1
Kevin Marsillon-NoleoSLUC NancyPaint protector50.4
Zeke MooreJDA DijonOff-ball threat49.0
Jonathan JeanneLe MansPaint protector48.2
Yvann MbayaJL Bourg-en-BresseRebounder45.4
Lucas DufealLe MansDefensive playmaker44.2

Key Takeaways

If PlayerLynk can accurately predict a player’s adaptation to the higher level, the model can now identify, as of today, all profiles currently in Elite 2 capable of adapting to Betclic Elite from next season.

The results speak for themselves: the majority of this summer’s Elite 2 → Betclic Elite transfers are above or within the model’s expected range. This predictive capability changes the game for clubs: it allows spotting future elite talents before the summer market, with an objective confidence level on their adaptation potential.

In an upcoming article, PlayerLynk will use this same framework to identify Elite 2 players to watch for summer 2026, likely to become the next Betclic Elite gems.

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